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Health Care Fortune Teller

David P. Lind BenchmarkDuring the past two years, I’ve fielded countless inquiries from curious Iowans asking me to put on my fortune-teller hat and look into my crystal ball to predict how health care reform will impact their lives. Questions run the gamut:  

  • Do you think it will solve the ills of our health care system?
  • How will health insurance rates be affected by the new health reform law?
  • Will I be able to keep my own doctor?
  • Will employers continue to offer health insurance to their employees in 2014 and beyond?
  • Will the U.S. Supreme Court deem the individual mandate unconstitutional? If so, will health reform be repealed?
  • Who will be the chief czar of the newly created “Death Panel” in Washington, D.C.? (OK, this one was a bit exaggerated by me!).

Anxiety and fear are often at the root of these concerns. Perhaps the questioner watched the nightly national news and caught a vignette about how reform will impact a certain segment of society, or perused a magazine article that portrayed a certain provision in the law as either negative or positive. We have certainly been bombarded with “facts” from supporters and detractors of the law since March, 2010. No wonder we are feeling confused and overwhelmed with the complexities imbedded in this mammoth law.

I typically refrain from giving my views on the health reform law. But, when confronted, my comments sound something like this:

  • There are usually two (or more) sides to every argument, and health care is no exception to this maxim.
  • Determine the source of the information before accepting it as truth. Supporters and detractors may not portray competing arguments with much objectivity. Be mindful of possible agendas that may cloud the “truth” they espouse.
  • There are NO Silver Bullets that will solve the ills of our health care system. It took us 60-plus years to get into this mess, and it will take time to put our health care ‘system’ on the road to “recovery.”
  • Lastly, I will ask them if they always believe the weather forecast. Because forecasting how reform will impact us is similar to trying to predict the changing weather patterns in Iowa over the next year (or week)!

 

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