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Is Healthcare a ‘Tapeworm’ in the American Economy?

Tapeworms cause health problems in our bodies. They can rob us of important nutrients, block our intestines, and take up space in organs so they don’t function normally. Tapeworms keep our bodies from operating efficiently.

Warren Buffett described the American healthcare system as a “tapeworm in the American economy.” Given the latest failure of Haven, a joint health care venture with JP Morgan, Amazon and Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway – the tapeworm appears to be live and well.

Buffett’s comment is brutally honest.

The tapeworm analogy is demonstrated in a new article from the New York Times, “Buoyed by Federal Covid Aid, Big Hospital Chains Buy Up Competitors.” This article paints a picture that some larger hospital chains are using Covid bailout money from the Provider Relief Fund and purchasing other hospitals and physician groups to grow their footprint in markets. Without much federal scrutiny, this bailout allows hospital chains to grow larger and dictate higher prices from private insurers, employers and individuals.

Multiplier Effect

I have to hand it to the American Hospital Association (AHA) and their state-based hospital members, including the Iowa Hospital Association (IHA). When payers demand to hold hospitals accountable to improve their outcomes at lower associated costs, hospitals revert to a tried-and-true formula to combat public scrutiny: Remind the public about how hospitals provide economic contributions to our communities and states.

As an example, in 2017, the AHA stated the “Health care sector has traditionally been an economic mainstay, providing stability and job growth in communities. Health care added more than 35,000 jobs per month in 2016.” The AHA mentions that hospitals employ more than 5.7 million workers, are one of the top sources of private-sector jobs, and purchase nearly $852 billion in goods and services from other businesses. More recently, Rick Pollack, President and CEO of the AHA, had a paid AHA advertisement in the Wall Street Journal titled, “Value of Health Systems Shown Clearly During the Pandemic.

This information is pumped out every few years for each state to tout, including Iowa. The AHA provides a state-by-state economic impact grid that illustrates the value hospitals provide to their respective local economies. The IHA readily uses this information to display on their website. Of course, we are constantly reminded of the ‘multiplying effect’ that supports “thousands of additional jobs.” We are told that “more than 143,000 jobs are tied to Iowa hospitals, creating an overall impact that is worth nearly $8.6 billion to Iowa’s economy.” It is true that, along with public schools, hospitals are the largest employers within many of our communities.

Not to be outdone, the lobbying organization for insurance companies – America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) – employs a similar approach to tout how private insurance is an economic boon for local economies. In early May, AHIP posted By the Numbers: How Health Insurance Providers Contribute to State Economies and Peace of Mind.” The 2021 AHIP biennial report discusses how the economies of each state are impacted by health plans, specifically on the number of jobs generated and tax revenues paid to support the local economy.

Based on AHIP data, Iowa employs over 4,000 health plan employees and almost 13,000 insurance-related employees. Average annual wages for health plan employees are over $86,000 while insurance-related employees earn about $63,000 annually. By most standards, these wages are good for the Iowa economy, especially when using the multiplier effect.

Zero-Sum Game

Given the narratives being sold to us, perhaps we should supersize the entire U.S. economy by continuing to expand healthcare and health plans beyond their current size. But that simply will not work. There are economic tradeoffs that come into play.

It brings to mind poker and gambling, two popular examples of the zero-sum game. In poker, the sum of the amounts won by some players equals the combined losses of other players. In a zero-sum game, there is one winner and one loser.

“Currently, the U.S. healthcare and health insurance systems are really a patchwork of different programs, which create gaps and expensive inefficiencies”, according to economic health researcher, Katherine Baicker.

But who pays for these inefficiencies? ALL OF US.

What we pay to healthcare providers and insurers will indeed fund the job growth of doctors, nurses, medical technicians, health insurance personnel and professionals. To be sure, we need these services. But, as a consequence, we don’t have this money to spend (or save) on other economic necessities or preferences. This becomes an economic tradeoff that adversely impacts other parts of our economy.

Inefficient and opaque spending on healthcare creates another problem: a redistribution of our hard-earned money that is often being used to our own detriment – for lobbying efforts to ensure the status quo remains unchanged. Opaqueness breeds blind spending by those who pay. This is a vicious cycle that perpetuates the zero-sum game.

Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns & Opportunity Costs

Another economic term, Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns, is typically used when analyzing the production of a particular commodity. For example, when a factory employs workers to manufacture its products, at some point during production, the company will operate at an optimal level (with all other factors remaining constant). Over time, however, adding additional workers will result in less efficient operations.

At what point has healthcare exceeded the optimal revenue from its payers? When will the best possible returns obtained by healthcare diminish with every dollar invested? Are we there yet? The latest Kaiser Health News poll that found large employers are ready for more government involvement may suggest this point has been reached.

Put yet another way, what are the opportunity costs with each dollar spent on healthcare? Opportunity cost is the loss of the benefit that could have been enjoyed if the best alternative choice was chosen instead. Continuing to pay higher healthcare costs without receiving the commensurate benefits represents a lost opportunity of investing that money elsewhere – such as investing in updated infrastructures, efficient factory equipment or paying higher wages. Redirecting financial investments into other worthwhile opportunities would provide a multiplier effect for local economies.

Continuing to accept overpriced care is not the solution to sustain economic growth. In fact, overpriced and inefficient care is holding the economy back from becoming MORE robust. This is precisely Buffett’s point.

Summary

Contrary to the argument of being an ‘economic stimulus’ to local economies, the REAL purpose of healthcare is to enhance the quality of life by enhancing our health. It is true that creating reasonable profits to remain financially viable is necessary to stay in business to serve others. However, healthcare must focus on creating social health and well-being to fulfill its fundamental promise to society.

Marketing platforms being used by healthcare-related associations on how hospitals and health plans will benefit our communities is, at best, disingenuous. We live in a world of unfulfilled opportunities. Until these opportunities are given the chance to succeed, we will never know just how robust our economy can become.

How long do we allow the tapeworm to control our economic well-being?

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Wellness Programs – New Study Confirms Cautioned Approach

During the past seven years, I have written a fair number of posts regarding wellness programs offered by employers. The core message of all blogs suggests that employers must have realistic expectations about what wellness initiatives will or will not do within the workplace.

A recent randomized clinical study published in JAMA is yet another reminder for employers to have tepid expectations when trying to keep their employees happy, healthy and less likely to incur more health costs. The study found that workplace wellness programs do not cut healthcare costs for employers, reduce absenteeism or improve the health of employees.

From the University of Chicago and Harvard, researchers used a large-scale approach that was peer-reviewed and included a more sophisticated design when analyzing BJ’s Wholesale Clubs. BJ’s has about 33,000 employees across 160 clubs. This analysis compared 20 randomly-assigned clubs that offered wellness programs with 140 BJ’s clubs that did not.

After 18 months of timeline analysis, this study revealed that wellness programs did not result in health measure differences, such as: improved blood sugar or glucose levels, reduced healthcare costs or absenteeism, or impacted job performance in a positive manner. In other words, employees with a wellness program did not experience reduced healthcare costs and other desired affects. I suppose one could argue that a year and one half was not enough comparison time to develop these conclusions.

One of the authors of this study, Katherine Baicker, dean of the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago, put it quite succinctly in a Kaiser Health News article: “[But] if employers are offering these programs in hopes that health spending and absenteeism will go down, this study should give them pause.”

What are your expectations about workplace wellness? Do you believe such programs, when appropriately and thoughtfully implemented, will greatly mitigate your healthcare costs, improve workforce productivity and reduce absenteeism? Maybe you feel these programs are a waste. From our 2012 Iowa Employer Benefits Study, employers shared their perceived ‘return on investment’ on the programs they currently had in place.

According to a 2013 “Workplace Wellness Programs Study” by researchers at the RAND Corporation, these programs only have a modest effect. This runs contrary to claims made by wellness firms that sell workplace wellness programs to employers. The report found that people who participate in wellness initiatives lose an average of only one pound a year for three years. Another finding is that employee participation in such plans “was not associated with significant reductions in total cholesterol level.” Smoking-cessation programs show some potential, but only “in the short term.”

Most likely, both skeptics and supporters of wellness initiatives will find ammunition to support their cause. Workplace wellness programs have grown to an $8 billion industry in the U.S., primarily as a direct result of rising employer health insurance costs.

This latest report may help stabilize any pre-conceived lofty expectations each of us may have about the benefits of workplace wellness programs. However, it must be noted that some employers have found value in these programs.

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Expansion of Medicaid – What REALLY Matters?

Quality care diceA new randomized and controlled clinical trial provides fascinating information for Iowa (and other states) to review while policymakers consider whether or not to expand Medicaid. I highly encourage you to read this study, as it helps frame the real issues we must focus on as a state and country.

Published in The New England Journal of Medicine, ‘The Oregon Experiment – Effects of Medicaid on Clinical Outcomes,’ study reviews the potential effects of expanding Medicaid to impact healthy outcomes when health coverage becomes available to low-income adults. As you have correctly guessed, the petri dish for this experiment was the state of Oregon.

When expanding Medicaid for the poor, the primary benefits can be lower depression rates, greater health-care utilization and the elimination of catastrophic medical expenses for those who acquire the insurance. According to the study’s primary author, Katherine Baicker, a Harvard health economics professor, “The purpose of insurance is not to just get you access to healthcare, it’s to protect you from financial ruin if you have an expensive condition.” Dr. Baicker was one of many speakers at Harvard’s “Forces of Change” series on healthcare that I attended in Boston a few years back…she is a wickedly smart and a concise researcher.

In Iowa, a great debate has erupted (mostly along partisan lines) about whether to expand Medicaid or pursue a new but untested plan offered by Governor Branstad. Both approaches have supporters and critics for a number of reasons – arguments founded on facts, emotion and, you guessed it, politics.

So what is the truth?

I don’t pretend to have the answer. However, the Oregon Experiment does give additional insight on the implications for any legislative activity enacted in this state. It is common knowledge that having insurance coverage allows us to seek medical care that will make us healthier and more productive…and we won’t go bankrupt. We also know that having insurance provides each of us a peace of mind, it certainly does for me. Finally, having insurance improves access to healthcare providers and services. Enough said, right?

Not so fast – after learning of this new study, we may need to reassess this logic and maybe qualify it a bit more. The study findings consistently support the importance of delivering QUALITY health care to our population. To borrow a quote from Dr. Ashish Jha, another wickedly smart physician and researcher at Harvard, “The explanation is simple. It’s not about access to healthcare; it’s about access to high quality healthcare.” Baicker’s recent study certainly supports Dr. Jha’s conclusions.

We cannot expect to have a healthier population by merely providing insurance to gain access to necessary care. In fact, there is evidence that shows doctors who spend a great deal of their time serving Medicaid recipients deliver lower-quality care. Insurance will unlock the door to gaining access to care, but having this access does not ensure we receive quality care that will improve our health.

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) attempts to improve access to care for those least fortunate in our society – and most everyone agrees that this is important. However, the ACA does little to control spiraling costs and improve the quality of care being delivered. By adding more insureds into an already dysfunctional, high-cost ‘system,’ will only make our health costs considerably greater and even more uncontrollable over time.

It’s like rearranging the chairs on the Titanic.

Improving the health of our population means that we must pursue logical steps to ensure that high-quality care is being delivered at a reasonable cost. Gaining access to care is not enough…we must commit to having high-quality care accompany this access. Dr. Jha articulated this point very well: “Quality is the link between healthcare services and better health outcomes.”

It is time to make sure this healthcare ship is traveling in the right direction. It’s what we all should demand…it’s what we all deserve!

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